Sunday, May 24, 2009

The Christian vote

March 8 and their supporters are denying the ovious: that Gen. `Awn has lost support among Christians since 2005. I saw one survey in Matn which indicated that `Awn support among Maronites stands at no more than a third while support for the various groups of March 14 stands at antoher third. This is a substantial reducation of support for `Awn. But the many who defected from `Awn may stay home and not vote for March 14. It may be class: Professional Christians seem to support March 14, while lower middle class and poorer Christians seem to support `Awn. What about Sunnis, Druzes, and Shi`ites: all indications are that the entire sect is sectarianly mobilized in all three cases.