Wednesday, February 11, 2004

Michael O'Hanlon of Brookings has prepared these Security Indicators for Iraq:
April June August October Junuary

Top 55 Baathists
Still at Large 40 23 16 15 12
Total Baathists
Killed or Arrested 500 1,000 1,000 750 2,000
(rough estimate)
U.S. Troops in Iraq 145 146 140 130 122
(thousands)
Non-U.S. Troops in Iraq 40 12 16 24 26
(thousands)
Typical No. of Daily
Attacks on U.S. Troops 5-10 6 15 30 18
U.S. Troops Killed,
Hostile Fire 10 15 14 43 44
U.S. Troops Killed,
Nonhostile Causes 12 14 22 10
Coalition Casualties,
Non-U.S. Troops 6 0 7 3 5
Iraqi Security Forces 0 25,000 48,000 85,500 207,000
Iraqi Forces by Type 0/0/0 20,000/ 34,000/ 55,000/
(police/military/other) 0/ 0/ 700/
5,000 14,000 29,800
Annualized Murder Rate
in Baghdad per 100,000 100 135 185 140 100
(District of Columbia rate:
46 per year)
Unemployment Rate 60+% 60+% 50+% 50+%
Electricity Produced
Nationwide 0 3,200 3,300 3,900
(in megawatts;
prewar level: 3,300)
Electricity Produced, 0 700 1.280 1,250
Baghdad
(in megawatts;
prewar level: 2,500)
Oil Production 0 0.7 1.4 2.1
(millions of barrels/day;
prewar: 2.5)
Diesel and Kerosene
Available to Iraqis 0 10 16 24
(millions of liters/week)

PS. Some of the figures in the Op-Chart that he helped prepare for NYT today do not match the figures on his website.
And in his website's chart he calls the Iraqis "killed or arrested" Ba`thists, while in the New York Times they are referred to as "insurgents." Which is which? I wonder if O'Hanlon includes the innocent Iraqis who are shot by US troops in the category of "insurgents" or "Ba`thists" killed. Why not call all Iraqis terrorists. It makes things easier for propaganda purposes, as it has for Israel.